2021 Super Bowl MVP odds, picks: Tom Brady? Patrick Mahomes? Proven NFL expert fading Tyreek Hill

Tyreek Hill can become just the eighth receiver to win the Super Bowl MVP award when he and the Kansas City Chiefs square off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. The Chiefs’ 5-foot-10 dynamo had 15 receiving touchdowns during the regular season, which ranked second in the league. He also had 1,276 receiving yards, which ranked eighth. If he wins the Super Bowl MVP, he would join a list of receivers that includes Hall of Famers Fred Biletnikoff, Jerry Rice and Lynn Swann. 

Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS. William Hill Sportsbook lists Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes as the -120 favorite in the Super Bowl LV MVP odds, while Tom Brady is listed at +200. Hill and Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce are both getting +1100 in the latest 2021 Super Bowl MVP odds. Before locking in any 2021 Super Bowl MVP picks or bets, be sure to see what SportsLine’s Larry Hartstein has to say

A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed while working for Pro Football Focus. In the 2019 season, he went 58-39 on his against-the-spread NFL picks, giving his followers a profit of more than $1,500. He enters the 2021 Super Bowl on a strong 22-12 run on against-the-spread NFL picks. Anyone who has consistently followed him is way up.

Now, Hartstein has broken down the Super Bowl 55 MVP odds from every angle. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks

Top 2021 Super Bowl MVP picks

Hartstein isn’t high on Hill, even though he’s listed third in the Super Bowl LV MVP odds at +1100 and finished with 269 receiving yards and three touchdowns in Kansas City’s 27-24 victory over the Buccaneers in Week 12. Kansas City’s speedy receiver is having a terrific postseason, with 17 receptions for 282 yards, averaging 16.5 yards per catch. He’s coming off a strong showing in the AFC Championship Game, hauling in nine receptions for 172 yards. 

But Tampa Bay has shown it is well equipped to defend Hill and his big plays. The Buccaneers allowed just 46 passing plays of 20 yards or longer during the regular season. That ranked as the 10th fewest in the league. After their Week 13 bye, the Buccaneers were much better, giving up just eight passing plays of 20 yards or more, which was tied for the fewest in the NFL.

Hartstein is also down on the chances of Kelce, even though he’s one of the top-five 2021 Super Bowl MVP contenders +1100. The 6-foot-5 tight end is coming off a historic game against Buffalo in the AFC Championship Game, with 13 receptions for 118 yards and two touchdowns. In that game he became the only tight end in NFL history with five career 100-yard receiving games in the playoffs. He’s had two of them just this postseason.

But Tampa Bay is one of the best teams in the league in limiting tight ends. The Buccaneers allowed just 9.7 yards per reception to tight ends in the regular season. Only two defenses allowed fewer. In the playoffs, Tampa Bay has been even better, limiting tight ends to 8.3 yards per catch.

How to make 2021 Super Bowl MVP picks

Instead Hartstein has found a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one player in the Super Bowl LV MVP odds. He’s sharing which player to back only at SportsLine

So who wins MVP in the Super Bowl 2021? And what critical X-factor makes one player a must-back? Check out the latest 2021 Super Bowl MVP odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see who to back for Super Bowl MVP, all from the expert on a 22-12 run on NFL picks

2021 Super Bowl MVP odds 

Patrick Mahomes -120
Tom Brady +190
Tyreek Hill +1100
Travis Kelce +1100
Leonard Fournette +3000
Clyde Edwards-Helaire +3000
Mike Evans +3000
Chris Godwin +3000
Shaquil Barrett +4000
Darrel Williams +4000
Tyrann Mathieu +4000
Ronald Jones +5000
Antonio Brown +5000
Frank Clark +5000
Rob Gronkowski +6000
Chris Jones +6000
Sammy Watkins +8000
Lavonte David +8000
Devin White +8000
Mecole Hardman +8000

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